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Brighton & Hove Albion v Manchester United

Brighton is 4 points clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 82%, a loss to 72%.

  • Date

Win chances: Brighton favored. Brighton win 53%, draw 23%, Man United win 24%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Brighton and Man United, against the league median
PositionBrighton 3rd, Man United 17th, league median 10.5th
PointsBrighton 19, Man United 7, league median 11
Points, last 5Brighton 12, Man United 3, league median 8
OffenseBrighton 1.74, Man United 1.55, league median 1.45
DefenseBrighton 1.09, Man United 1.25, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsBrighton 79%, Man United 2%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Brighton goals down, Man United goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 11%. The chance either side scores five or more is 6%.
Man United 0Man United 1Man United 2Man United 3Man United 4
Brighton 05%4%3%1%<1%
Brighton 17%11%6%3%1%
Brighton 28%10%6%3%1%
Brighton 35%6%4%2%1%
Brighton 42%3%2%1%<1%

Table

Where Brighton and Man United sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
2Man City29+1021
3Brighton29+1719
4Chelsea29+416
16Coventry29−79
17Man United29−57
18Crystal Palace29−127

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultBrightonChampions LeagueMan UnitedRelegation
Now79%8%
Brighton win, up 3 points82%, up 2 points10%
Draw, down 2 points77%, no change8%
Man United win, down 7 points72%, down 3 points5%