Brighton & Hove Albion v Newcastle United
Brighton is 4 points clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 83%, a loss to 71%.
- Date
Win chances: Brighton favored. Brighton win 58%, draw 22%, Newcastle win 20%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Brighton and Newcastle, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Brighton 3rd, Newcastle 12th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Brighton 19, Newcastle 11, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Brighton 12, Newcastle 6, league median 8 |
| Offense | Brighton 1.74, Newcastle 1.46, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Brighton 1.09, Newcastle 1.36, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Brighton 79%, Newcastle 2%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Newcastle 0 | Newcastle 1 | Newcastle 2 | Newcastle 3 | Newcastle 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton 0 | 4% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Brighton 1 | 7% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | |
| Brighton 2 | 8% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 1% | |
| Brighton 3 | 6% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | |
| Brighton 4 | 3% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Man City | 29 | +10 | 21 | |
| 3 | Brighton | 29 | +17 | 19 | |
| 4 | Chelsea | 29 | +4 | 16 | |
| 11 | Leeds | 29 | +1 | 11 | |
| 12 | Newcastle | 30 | −2 | 11 | |
| 13 | Ipswich | 29 | −4 | 11 |
Odds by result
| Result | BrightonChampions League | NewcastleRelegation |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 79% | 7% |
| Brighton win | , up 4 points83% | , up 2 points9% |
| Draw | , down 4 points75% | , down 1 point6% |
| Newcastle win | , down 8 points71% | , down 3 points4% |