Brighton & Hove Albion v Nottingham Forest
Brighton is 4 points clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 82%, a loss to 71%.
- Date
Win chances: Brighton favored. Brighton win 57%, draw 24%, Nott'm Forest win 19%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Brighton and Nott'm Forest, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Brighton 3rd, Nott'm Forest 19th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Brighton 19, Nott'm Forest 6, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Brighton 12, Nott'm Forest 1, league median 8 |
| Offense | Brighton 1.74, Nott'm Forest 1.28, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Brighton 1.09, Nott'm Forest 1.23, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Brighton 79%, Nott'm Forest <1%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Nott'm Forest 0 | Nott'm Forest 1 | Nott'm Forest 2 | Nott'm Forest 3 | Nott'm Forest 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton 0 | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Brighton 1 | 9% | 11% | 5% | 2% | <1% | |
| Brighton 2 | 9% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | |
| Brighton 3 | 6% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Brighton 4 | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Man City | 29 | +10 | 21 | |
| 3 | Brighton | 29 | +17 | 19 | |
| 4 | Chelsea | 29 | +4 | 16 | |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 29 | −12 | 7 | |
| 19 | Nott'm Forest | 29 | −6 | 6 | |
| 20 | Sunderland | 29 | −10 | 5 |
Odds by result
| Result | BrightonChampions League | Nott'm ForestRelegation |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 79% | 29% |
| Brighton win | , up 3 points82% | , up 3 points32% |
| Draw | , down 4 points75% | , down 1 point28% |
| Nott'm Forest win | , down 8 points71% | , down 10 points19% |