Brighton & Hove Albion v Sunderland
Brighton is 4 points clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 81%, a loss to 71%.
- Date
Win chances: Brighton favored. Brighton win 62%, draw 22%, Sunderland win 16%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Brighton and Sunderland, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Brighton 3rd, Sunderland 20th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Brighton 19, Sunderland 5, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Brighton 12, Sunderland 1, league median 8 |
| Offense | Brighton 1.74, Sunderland 1.17, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Brighton 1.09, Sunderland 1.31, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Brighton 79%, Sunderland <1%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Sunderland 0 | Sunderland 1 | Sunderland 2 | Sunderland 3 | Sunderland 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton 0 | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
| Brighton 1 | 9% | 10% | 5% | 1% | <1% | |
| Brighton 2 | 10% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | |
| Brighton 3 | 7% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Brighton 4 | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Man City | 29 | +10 | 21 | |
| 3 | Brighton | 29 | +17 | 19 | |
| 4 | Chelsea | 29 | +4 | 16 | |
| 19 | Nott'm Forest | 29 | −6 | 6 | |
| 20 | Sunderland | 29 | −10 | 5 |
Odds by result
| Result | BrightonChampions League | SunderlandRelegation |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 79% | 55% |
| Brighton win | , up 2 points81% | , up 5 points60% |
| Draw | , down 4 points75% | , down 2 points53% |
| Sunderland win | , down 8 points71% | , down 15 points40% |