Chelsea v Brentford
3.5 goals expected, the most of any match this week.
- Date
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 46%, draw 23%, Brentford win 31%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Chelsea and Brentford, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Chelsea 4th, Brentford 6th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Chelsea 16, Brentford 14, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Chelsea 9, Brentford 8, league median 8 |
| Offense | Chelsea 1.69, Brentford 1.63, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Chelsea 1.28, Brentford 1.25, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Chelsea 28%, Brentford 15%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Brentford 0 | Brentford 1 | Brentford 2 | Brentford 3 | Brentford 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea 0 | 4% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Chelsea 1 | 5% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 1% | |
| Chelsea 2 | 6% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 1% | |
| Chelsea 3 | 4% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Chelsea 4 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Brighton | 29 | +17 | 19 | |
| 4 | Chelsea | 29 | +4 | 16 | |
| 5 | Liverpool | 29 | +2 | 15 | |
| 6 | Brentford | 29 | +7 | 14 | |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 29 | +1 | 12 |
Champions League odds by result
| Result | Chelsea | Brentford |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 28% | 15% |
| Chelsea win | , up 7 points35% | , down 3 points12% |
| Draw | , down 4 points24% | , down 1 point14% |
| Brentford win | , down 8 points20% | , up 8 points23% |