Chelsea v Coventry City
Chelsea is 1 point clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 32%, a loss to 21%.
- Date
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 55%, draw 22%, Coventry win 23%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Chelsea and Coventry, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Chelsea 4th, Coventry 16th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Chelsea 16, Coventry 9, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Chelsea 9, Coventry 9, league median 8 |
| Offense | Chelsea 1.69, Coventry 1.39, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Chelsea 1.28, Coventry 1.40, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Chelsea 28%, Coventry <1%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Coventry 0 | Coventry 1 | Coventry 2 | Coventry 3 | Coventry 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea 0 | 4% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Chelsea 1 | 6% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Chelsea 2 | 7% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Chelsea 3 | 5% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Chelsea 4 | 3% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Brighton | 29 | +17 | 19 | |
| 4 | Chelsea | 29 | +4 | 16 | |
| 5 | Liverpool | 29 | +2 | 15 | |
| 15 | Fulham | 29 | −2 | 9 | |
| 16 | Coventry | 29 | −7 | 9 | |
| 17 | Man United | 29 | −5 | 7 |
Odds by result
| Result | ChelseaChampions League | CoventryRelegation |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 28% | 22% |
| Chelsea win | , up 4 points32% | , up 4 points26% |
| Draw | , down 5 points23% | , up 1 point23% |
| Coventry win | , down 7 points21% | , down 7 points15% |