Chelsea v Crystal Palace
High scoring23% more goals than an average match, top 10% of past matches rated as far ahead.
3.6 goals expected, 23% more than an average match; Chelsea is the week's heaviest favorite.
- Date
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 61%, draw 20%, Crystal Palace win 19%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Chelsea and Crystal Palace, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Chelsea 4th, Crystal Palace 18th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Chelsea 16, Crystal Palace 7, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Chelsea 9, Crystal Palace 4, league median 8 |
| Offense | Chelsea 1.69, Crystal Palace 1.33, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Chelsea 1.28, Crystal Palace 1.55, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Chelsea 28%, Crystal Palace <1%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Crystal Palace 0 | Crystal Palace 1 | Crystal Palace 2 | Crystal Palace 3 | Crystal Palace 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea 0 | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
| Chelsea 1 | 6% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | |
| Chelsea 2 | 7% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Chelsea 3 | 6% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | |
| Chelsea 4 | 3% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Brighton | 29 | +17 | 19 | |
| 4 | Chelsea | 29 | +4 | 16 | |
| 5 | Liverpool | 29 | +2 | 15 | |
| 17 | Man United | 29 | −5 | 7 | |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 29 | −12 | 7 | |
| 19 | Nott'm Forest | 29 | −6 | 6 |
Odds by result
| Result | ChelseaChampions League | Crystal PalaceRelegation |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 28% | 61% |
| Chelsea win | , up 4 points32% | , up 3 points64% |
| Draw | , down 6 points22% | , no change61% |
| Crystal Palace win | , down 9 points19% | , down 12 points49% |