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Chelsea v Fulham

Chelsea is 1 point clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 32%, a loss to 21%.

  • Date

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 52%, draw 24%, Fulham win 24%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Chelsea and Fulham, against the league median
PositionChelsea 4th, Fulham 15th, league median 10.5th
PointsChelsea 16, Fulham 9, league median 11
Points, last 5Chelsea 9, Fulham 8, league median 8
OffenseChelsea 1.69, Fulham 1.25, league median 1.45
DefenseChelsea 1.28, Fulham 1.22, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsChelsea 28%, Fulham <1%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Chelsea goals down, Fulham goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 11%. The chance either side scores five or more is 5%.
Fulham 0Fulham 1Fulham 2Fulham 3Fulham 4
Chelsea 05%5%3%1%<1%
Chelsea 18%11%6%3%1%
Chelsea 28%10%6%2%1%
Chelsea 35%6%4%1%<1%
Chelsea 42%3%2%1%<1%

Table

Where Chelsea and Fulham sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
3Brighton29+1719
4Chelsea29+416
5Liverpool29+215
14Everton30−110
15Fulham29−29
16Coventry29−79

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultChelseaChampions LeagueFulhamRelegation
Now28%21%
Chelsea win, up 4 points32%, up 4 points25%
Draw, down 4 points24%, down 1 point20%
Fulham win, down 7 points21%, down 7 points14%