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Chelsea v Ipswich Town

Chelsea is 1 point clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 31%, a loss to 20%.

  • Date

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 62%, draw 19%, Ipswich win 19%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Chelsea and Ipswich, against the league median
PositionChelsea 4th, Ipswich 13th, league median 10.5th
PointsChelsea 16, Ipswich 11, league median 11
Points, last 5Chelsea 9, Ipswich 5, league median 8
OffenseChelsea 1.69, Ipswich 1.48, league median 1.45
DefenseChelsea 1.28, Ipswich 1.69, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsChelsea 28%, Ipswich <1%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Chelsea goals down, Ipswich goals across. The most likely is 2–1 at 9%. The chance either side scores five or more is 13%.
Ipswich 0Ipswich 1Ipswich 2Ipswich 3Ipswich 4
Chelsea 02%2%2%1%<1%
Chelsea 14%7%5%2%1%
Chelsea 26%9%6%3%1%
Chelsea 35%7%5%2%1%
Chelsea 43%5%3%2%1%

Table

Where Chelsea and Ipswich sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
3Brighton29+1719
4Chelsea29+416
5Liverpool29+215
12Newcastle30−211
13Ipswich29−411
14Everton30−110

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultChelseaChampions LeagueIpswichRelegation
Now28%36%
Chelsea win, up 3 points31%, up 4 points40%
Draw, down 5 points23%, down 1 point35%
Ipswich win, down 8 points20%, down 11 points25%