Chelsea v Liverpool
Must watchRated 49 of 100 on quality and stakes, top 10% of past matches rated as far ahead.
4th meets 5th for fourth place; a win lifts Chelsea to 37%, Liverpool to 59%.
- Date
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 39%, draw 25%, Liverpool win 36%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Chelsea and Liverpool, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Chelsea 4th, Liverpool 5th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Chelsea 16, Liverpool 15, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Chelsea 9, Liverpool 9, league median 8 |
| Offense | Chelsea 1.69, Liverpool 1.66, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Chelsea 1.28, Liverpool 1.08, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Chelsea 28%, Liverpool 49%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Liverpool 0 | Liverpool 1 | Liverpool 2 | Liverpool 3 | Liverpool 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea 0 | 5% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 1% | |
| Chelsea 1 | 6% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 2% | |
| Chelsea 2 | 5% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 1% | |
| Chelsea 3 | 3% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Chelsea 4 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Brighton | 29 | +17 | 19 | |
| 4 | Chelsea | 29 | +4 | 16 | |
| 5 | Liverpool | 29 | +2 | 15 | |
| 6 | Brentford | 29 | +7 | 14 |
Champions League odds by result
| Result | Chelsea | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 28% | 49% |
| Chelsea win | , up 9 points37% | , down 10 points39% |
| Draw | , down 4 points24% | , no change49% |
| Liverpool win | , down 9 points19% | , up 10 points59% |