Chelsea v Manchester City
Chelsea is 1 point clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 37%, a loss to 21%.
- Date
Win chances: Man City favored. Chelsea win 34%, draw 24%, Man City win 42%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Chelsea and Man City, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Chelsea 4th, Man City 2nd, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Chelsea 16, Man City 21, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Chelsea 9, Man City 9, league median 8 |
| Offense | Chelsea 1.69, Man City 1.88, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Chelsea 1.28, Man City 1.06, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Chelsea 28%, Man City 90%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Man City 0 | Man City 1 | Man City 2 | Man City 3 | Man City 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea 0 | 4% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 1% | |
| Chelsea 1 | 5% | 10% | 9% | 5% | 2% | |
| Chelsea 2 | 4% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 2% | |
| Chelsea 3 | 2% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Chelsea 4 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 29 | +9 | 24 | |
| 2 | Man City | 29 | +10 | 21 | |
| 3 | Brighton | 29 | +17 | 19 | |
| 4 | Chelsea | 29 | +4 | 16 | |
| 5 | Liverpool | 29 | +2 | 15 |
Champions League odds by result
| Result | Chelsea | Man City |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 28% | 90% |
| Chelsea win | , up 9 points37% | , down 4 points86% |
| Draw | , down 2 points26% | , no change90% |
| Man City win | , down 7 points21% | , up 4 points94% |