Chelsea v Nottingham Forest
Chelsea is 1 point clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 32%, a loss to 20%.
- Date
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 52%, draw 24%, Nott'm Forest win 24%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Chelsea and Nott'm Forest, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Chelsea 4th, Nott'm Forest 19th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Chelsea 16, Nott'm Forest 6, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Chelsea 9, Nott'm Forest 1, league median 8 |
| Offense | Chelsea 1.69, Nott'm Forest 1.28, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Chelsea 1.28, Nott'm Forest 1.23, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Chelsea 28%, Nott'm Forest <1%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Nott'm Forest 0 | Nott'm Forest 1 | Nott'm Forest 2 | Nott'm Forest 3 | Nott'm Forest 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea 0 | 5% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Chelsea 1 | 8% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Chelsea 2 | 8% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 1% | |
| Chelsea 3 | 5% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | |
| Chelsea 4 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Brighton | 29 | +17 | 19 | |
| 4 | Chelsea | 29 | +4 | 16 | |
| 5 | Liverpool | 29 | +2 | 15 | |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 29 | −12 | 7 | |
| 19 | Nott'm Forest | 29 | −6 | 6 | |
| 20 | Sunderland | 29 | −10 | 5 |
Odds by result
| Result | ChelseaChampions League | Nott'm ForestRelegation |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 28% | 29% |
| Chelsea win | , up 4 points32% | , up 4 points33% |
| Draw | , down 4 points24% | , down 2 points27% |
| Nott'm Forest win | , down 8 points20% | , down 8 points21% |