Chelsea v Sunderland
High stakesStakes 29 of 100, top 15% of past matches rated as far ahead.
Chelsea is 1 point clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 32%, a loss to 18%.
- Date
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 57%, draw 23%, Sunderland win 20%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Chelsea and Sunderland, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Chelsea 4th, Sunderland 20th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Chelsea 16, Sunderland 5, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Chelsea 9, Sunderland 1, league median 8 |
| Offense | Chelsea 1.69, Sunderland 1.17, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Chelsea 1.28, Sunderland 1.31, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Chelsea 28%, Sunderland <1%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Sunderland 0 | Sunderland 1 | Sunderland 2 | Sunderland 3 | Sunderland 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea 0 | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Chelsea 1 | 8% | 11% | 6% | 2% | 1% | |
| Chelsea 2 | 9% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 1% | |
| Chelsea 3 | 6% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | |
| Chelsea 4 | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Brighton | 29 | +17 | 19 | |
| 4 | Chelsea | 29 | +4 | 16 | |
| 5 | Liverpool | 29 | +2 | 15 | |
| 19 | Nott'm Forest | 29 | −6 | 6 | |
| 20 | Sunderland | 29 | −10 | 5 |
Odds by result
| Result | ChelseaChampions League | SunderlandRelegation |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 28% | 55% |
| Chelsea win | , up 4 points32% | , up 5 points60% |
| Draw | , down 4 points24% | , down 1 point54% |
| Sunderland win | , down 10 points18% | , down 10 points45% |