Coventry City v Aston Villa

CoventryCoventry City

10:00 AM ET

Toss-upToss-upWin chances within 5 points.

Aston VillaAston Villa

Home field evens it against Aston Villa, 9th by rating; Aston Villa is 4 points out with 29 to play.

• Date Saturday, December 12

Tale of the tape

	Coventry and Aston Villa, against the league medianCoventryAston Villa
Position	Coventry 16th, Aston Villa 9th, league median 10.5th16th9th
Points	Coventry 9, Aston Villa 12, league median 11912
Points, last 5	Coventry 9, Aston Villa 11, league median 8911
Offense	Coventry 1.39, Aston Villa 1.44, league median 1.451.391.44
Defense	Coventry 1.40, Aston Villa 1.23, league median 1.241.401.23
Champions League odds	Coventry <1%, Aston Villa 4%, league median 2%<1%4%
	League medianMedianBetter

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Coventry goals down, Aston Villa goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 12%. The chance either side scores five or more is 4%.

		Aston Villa goals
		Aston Villa 0	Aston Villa 1	Aston Villa 2	Aston Villa 3	Aston Villa 4
Coventry goals	Coventry 0	6%	6%	5%	3%	1%
	Coventry 1	7%	12%	8%	4%	2%
	Coventry 2	6%	9%	6%	3%	1%
	Coventry 3	3%	4%	3%	2%	1%
	Coventry 4	1%	2%	1%	1%	<1%

Table

Where Coventry and Aston Villa sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.

Position	Team	LeftRegular-season matches left to play.	GDGoal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded.	Pts.	Champions LeagueChance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season.
8	Tottenham	29	0	12	2%
9	Aston Villa	29	−3	12	4%
10	Hull	29	+1	11	<1%
…
15	Fulham	29	−2	9	<1%
16	Coventry	29	−7	9	<1%
17	Man United	29	−5	7	2%

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.

Result	CoventryRelegation	Aston VillaChampions League
Now	22%	4%
Coventry win	, down 5 points17%	, down 1 point3%
Draw	, up 1 point23%	, no change4%
Aston Villa win	, up 6 points28%	, up 2 points6%