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Coventry City v AFC Bournemouth

Bournemouth is 4 points out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 31%, a loss to 19%.

  • Date

Win chances: Bournemouth favored. Coventry win 30%, draw 25%, Bournemouth win 45%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Coventry and Bournemouth, against the league median
PositionCoventry 16th, Bournemouth 7th, league median 10.5th
PointsCoventry 9, Bournemouth 12, league median 11
Points, last 5Coventry 9, Bournemouth 9, league median 8
OffenseCoventry 1.39, Bournemouth 1.67, league median 1.45
DefenseCoventry 1.40, Bournemouth 1.11, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsCoventry <1%, Bournemouth 26%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Coventry goals down, Bournemouth goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 11%. The chance either side scores five or more is 5%.
Bournemouth 0Bournemouth 1Bournemouth 2Bournemouth 3Bournemouth 4
Coventry 05%7%7%4%2%
Coventry 15%11%9%5%2%
Coventry 24%7%6%4%2%
Coventry 32%3%3%2%1%
Coventry 41%1%1%1%<1%

Table

Where Coventry and Bournemouth sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
6Brentford29+714
7Bournemouth29+112
8Tottenham29012
15Fulham29−29
16Coventry29−79
17Man United29−57

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultCoventryRelegationBournemouthChampions League
Now22%26%
Coventry win, down 6 points16%, down 7 points19%
Draw, no change22%, down 2 points24%
Bournemouth win, up 5 points27%, up 5 points31%