Coventry City v Chelsea
The table says 16th vs. 4th, but the win chances are 35% and 41%.
- Date
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Coventry win 35%, draw 24%, Chelsea win 41%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Coventry and Chelsea, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Coventry 16th, Chelsea 4th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Coventry 9, Chelsea 16, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Coventry 9, Chelsea 9, league median 8 |
| Offense | Coventry 1.39, Chelsea 1.69, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Coventry 1.40, Chelsea 1.28, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Coventry <1%, Chelsea 28%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Chelsea 0 | Chelsea 1 | Chelsea 2 | Chelsea 3 | Chelsea 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry 0 | 4% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 1% | |
| Coventry 1 | 5% | 10% | 9% | 5% | 2% | |
| Coventry 2 | 4% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 2% | |
| Coventry 3 | 2% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Coventry 4 | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Brighton | 29 | +17 | 19 | |
| 4 | Chelsea | 29 | +4 | 16 | |
| 5 | Liverpool | 29 | +2 | 15 | |
| 15 | Fulham | 29 | −2 | 9 | |
| 16 | Coventry | 29 | −7 | 9 | |
| 17 | Man United | 29 | −5 | 7 |
Odds by result
| Result | CoventryRelegation | ChelseaChampions League |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 22% | 28% |
| Coventry win | , down 7 points15% | , down 6 points22% |
| Draw | , up 1 point23% | , down 2 points26% |
| Chelsea win | , up 6 points28% | , up 6 points34% |