Coventry City v Everton
Both need this to stay up; a win cuts Coventry's chances of going down to 17%, Everton's to 8%.
- Date
Win chances: Coventry favored. Coventry win 43%, draw 26%, Everton win 31%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Coventry and Everton, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Coventry 16th, Everton 14th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Coventry 9, Everton 10, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Coventry 9, Everton 5, league median 8 |
| Offense | Coventry 1.39, Everton 1.24, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Coventry 1.40, Everton 1.24, league median 1.24 |
| Relegation odds | Coventry 22%, Everton 14%, league median 7% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Everton 0 | Everton 1 | Everton 2 | Everton 3 | Everton 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry 0 | 7% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | |
| Coventry 1 | 8% | 12% | 8% | 3% | 1% | |
| Coventry 2 | 7% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Coventry 3 | 4% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Coventry 4 | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the bottom 3, which go down. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Ipswich | 29 | −4 | 11 | |
| 14 | Everton | 30 | −1 | 10 | |
| 15 | Fulham | 29 | −2 | 9 | |
| 16 | Coventry | 29 | −7 | 9 | |
| 17 | Man United | 29 | −5 | 7 |
Relegation odds by result
| Result | Coventry | Everton |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 22% | 14% |
| Coventry win | , down 5 points17% | , up 5 points19% |
| Draw | , up 2 points24% | , up 1 point15% |
| Everton win | , up 7 points29% | , down 6 points8% |