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Coventry City v Manchester City

Man City is 6 points clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 93%, a loss to 86%.

  • Date

Win chances: Man City favored. Coventry win 25%, draw 23%, Man City win 52%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Coventry and Man City, against the league median
PositionCoventry 16th, Man City 2nd, league median 10.5th
PointsCoventry 9, Man City 21, league median 11
Points, last 5Coventry 9, Man City 9, league median 8
OffenseCoventry 1.39, Man City 1.88, league median 1.45
DefenseCoventry 1.40, Man City 1.06, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsCoventry <1%, Man City 90%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Coventry goals down, Man City goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 10%. The chance either side scores five or more is 6%.
Man City 0Man City 1Man City 2Man City 3Man City 4
Coventry 04%7%7%5%2%
Coventry 14%10%10%6%3%
Coventry 23%6%6%4%2%
Coventry 31%3%3%2%1%
Coventry 4<1%1%1%1%<1%

Table

Where Coventry and Man City sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
1Arsenal29+924
2Man City29+1021
3Brighton29+1719
15Fulham29−29
16Coventry29−79
17Man United29−57

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultCoventryRelegationMan CityChampions League
Now22%90%
Coventry win, down 8 points14%, down 4 points86%
Draw, up 1 point23%, down 1 point89%
Man City win, up 5 points27%, up 3 points93%