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Coventry City v Nottingham Forest

16th meets 19th at the drop; a win cuts Coventry to 16%, Nott'm Forest to 19%.

  • Date

Win chances: Coventry favored. Coventry win 42%, draw 26%, Nott'm Forest win 32%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Coventry and Nott'm Forest, against the league median
PositionCoventry 16th, Nott'm Forest 19th, league median 10.5th
PointsCoventry 9, Nott'm Forest 6, league median 11
Points, last 5Coventry 9, Nott'm Forest 1, league median 8
OffenseCoventry 1.39, Nott'm Forest 1.28, league median 1.45
DefenseCoventry 1.40, Nott'm Forest 1.23, league median 1.24
Relegation oddsCoventry 22%, Nott'm Forest 29%, league median 7%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Coventry goals down, Nott'm Forest goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 12%. The chance either side scores five or more is 3%.
Nott'm Forest 0Nott'm Forest 1Nott'm Forest 2Nott'm Forest 3Nott'm Forest 4
Coventry 06%7%5%2%1%
Coventry 18%12%8%3%1%
Coventry 27%9%6%3%1%
Coventry 33%5%3%1%<1%
Coventry 41%2%1%1%<1%

Table

Where Coventry and Nott'm Forest sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the top places.
PositionTeamPts.
15Fulham29−29
16Coventry29−79
17Man United29−57
18Crystal Palace29−127
19Nott'm Forest29−66
20Sunderland29−105

Full table

Relegation odds by result

Each team's relegation odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultCoventryNott'm Forest
Now22%29%
Coventry win, down 6 points16%, up 6 points35%
Draw, up 2 points24%, up 1 point30%
Nott'm Forest win, up 7 points29%, down 10 points19%