Crystal Palace v Arsenal
A win cuts Crystal Palace's chances of going down to 47%; a loss raises them to 64%.
- Date
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Crystal Palace win 14%, draw 21%, Arsenal win 65%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Crystal Palace and Arsenal, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Crystal Palace 18th, Arsenal 1st, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Crystal Palace 7, Arsenal 24, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Crystal Palace 4, Arsenal 12, league median 8 |
| Offense | Crystal Palace 1.33, Arsenal 1.79, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Crystal Palace 1.55, Arsenal 0.73, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Crystal Palace <1%, Arsenal >99%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Arsenal 0 | Arsenal 1 | Arsenal 2 | Arsenal 3 | Arsenal 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace 0 | 6% | 10% | 11% | 8% | 4% | |
| Crystal Palace 1 | 4% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 4% | |
| Crystal Palace 2 | 2% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | |
| Crystal Palace 3 | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | |
| Crystal Palace 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 29 | +9 | 24 | |
| 2 | Man City | 29 | +10 | 21 | |
| 17 | Man United | 29 | −5 | 7 | |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 29 | −12 | 7 | |
| 19 | Nott'm Forest | 29 | −6 | 6 |
Odds by result
| Result | Crystal PalaceRelegation | ArsenalTitle |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 61% | 80% |
| Crystal Palace win | , down 14 points47% | , down 6 points74% |
| Draw | , down 1 point60% | , down 2 points78% |
| Arsenal win | , up 3 points64% | , up 2 points82% |