Crystal Palace v Aston Villa
Aston Villa is 4 points out with 29 to play; a loss drops its chances to 3%.
- Date
Win chances: Aston Villa favored. Crystal Palace win 33%, draw 25%, Aston Villa win 42%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Crystal Palace and Aston Villa, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Crystal Palace 18th, Aston Villa 9th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Crystal Palace 7, Aston Villa 12, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Crystal Palace 4, Aston Villa 11, league median 8 |
| Offense | Crystal Palace 1.33, Aston Villa 1.44, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Crystal Palace 1.55, Aston Villa 1.23, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Crystal Palace <1%, Aston Villa 4%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Aston Villa 0 | Aston Villa 1 | Aston Villa 2 | Aston Villa 3 | Aston Villa 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace 0 | 5% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Crystal Palace 1 | 6% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | |
| Crystal Palace 2 | 5% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 2% | |
| Crystal Palace 3 | 2% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | |
| Crystal Palace 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Tottenham | 29 | 0 | 12 | |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 29 | −3 | 12 | |
| 10 | Hull | 29 | +1 | 11 | |
| 17 | Man United | 29 | −5 | 7 | |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 29 | −12 | 7 | |
| 19 | Nott'm Forest | 29 | −6 | 6 |
Relegation odds by result
| Result | Crystal Palace | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 61% | 3% |
| Crystal Palace win | , down 10 points51% | , up 1 point4% |
| Draw | , up 1 point62% | , no change3% |
| Aston Villa win | , up 7 points68% | , down 2 points1% |