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Crystal Palace v Brentford

Brentford is 2 points out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 19%, a loss drops them to 11%.

  • Date

Win chances: Brentford favored. Crystal Palace win 30%, draw 24%, Brentford win 46%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Crystal Palace and Brentford, against the league median
PositionCrystal Palace 18th, Brentford 6th, league median 10.5th
PointsCrystal Palace 7, Brentford 14, league median 11
Points, last 5Crystal Palace 4, Brentford 8, league median 8
OffenseCrystal Palace 1.33, Brentford 1.63, league median 1.45
DefenseCrystal Palace 1.55, Brentford 1.25, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsCrystal Palace <1%, Brentford 15%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Crystal Palace goals down, Brentford goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 10%. The chance either side scores five or more is 6%.
Brentford 0Brentford 1Brentford 2Brentford 3Brentford 4
Crystal Palace 04%6%6%4%2%
Crystal Palace 14%10%9%6%3%
Crystal Palace 24%7%7%4%2%
Crystal Palace 32%4%3%2%1%
Crystal Palace 41%1%1%1%<1%

Table

Where Crystal Palace and Brentford sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
5Liverpool29+215
6Brentford29+714
7Bournemouth29+112
17Man United29−57
18Crystal Palace29−127
19Nott'm Forest29−66

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultCrystal PalaceRelegationBrentfordChampions League
Now61%15%
Crystal Palace win, down 11 points50%, down 4 points11%
Draw, no change61%, down 1 point14%
Brentford win, up 7 points68%, up 4 points19%