Crystal Palace v Chelsea
High stakesStakes 31 of 100, top 15% of past matches rated as far ahead.
Chelsea is 1 point clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 33%, a loss to 21%.
- Date
Win chances: Chelsea favored. Crystal Palace win 30%, draw 23%, Chelsea win 47%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Crystal Palace and Chelsea, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Crystal Palace 18th, Chelsea 4th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Crystal Palace 7, Chelsea 16, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Crystal Palace 4, Chelsea 9, league median 8 |
| Offense | Crystal Palace 1.33, Chelsea 1.69, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Crystal Palace 1.55, Chelsea 1.28, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Crystal Palace <1%, Chelsea 28%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Chelsea 0 | Chelsea 1 | Chelsea 2 | Chelsea 3 | Chelsea 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace 0 | 4% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 2% | |
| Crystal Palace 1 | 4% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 3% | |
| Crystal Palace 2 | 4% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 2% | |
| Crystal Palace 3 | 2% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Crystal Palace 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Brighton | 29 | +17 | 19 | |
| 4 | Chelsea | 29 | +4 | 16 | |
| 5 | Liverpool | 29 | +2 | 15 | |
| 17 | Man United | 29 | −5 | 7 | |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 29 | −12 | 7 | |
| 19 | Nott'm Forest | 29 | −6 | 6 |
Odds by result
| Result | Crystal PalaceRelegation | ChelseaChampions League |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 61% | 28% |
| Crystal Palace win | , down 11 points50% | , down 7 points21% |
| Draw | , up 1 point62% | , down 2 points26% |
| Chelsea win | , up 7 points68% | , up 5 points33% |