Crystal Palace v Coventry City
16th meets 18th at the drop; a win cuts Crystal Palace to 52%, Coventry to 15%.
- Date
Win chances: Crystal Palace favored. Crystal Palace win 39%, draw 25%, Coventry win 36%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Crystal Palace and Coventry, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Crystal Palace 18th, Coventry 16th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Crystal Palace 7, Coventry 9, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Crystal Palace 4, Coventry 9, league median 8 |
| Offense | Crystal Palace 1.33, Coventry 1.39, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Crystal Palace 1.55, Coventry 1.40, league median 1.24 |
| Relegation odds | Crystal Palace 61%, Coventry 22%, league median 7% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Coventry 0 | Coventry 1 | Coventry 2 | Coventry 3 | Coventry 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace 0 | 4% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 1% | |
| Crystal Palace 1 | 6% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 2% | |
| Crystal Palace 2 | 5% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 1% | |
| Crystal Palace 3 | 3% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Crystal Palace 4 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the bottom 3, which go down. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Fulham | 29 | −2 | 9 | |
| 16 | Coventry | 29 | −7 | 9 | |
| 17 | Man United | 29 | −5 | 7 | |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 29 | −12 | 7 | |
| 19 | Nott'm Forest | 29 | −6 | 6 |
Relegation odds by result
| Result | Crystal Palace | Coventry |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 61% | 22% |
| Crystal Palace win | , down 9 points52% | , up 8 points30% |
| Draw | , up 1 point62% | , no change22% |
| Coventry win | , up 8 points69% | , down 7 points15% |