Crystal Palace v Hull City

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

9:05 AM ET

High stakesHigh stakesStakes 35 of 100, top 15% of past matches rated as far ahead.

HullHull City

Both need this to stay up; a win cuts Crystal Palace's chances of going down to 53%, Hull's to 21%.

• Date Sunday, November 29

Tale of the tape

	Crystal Palace and Hull, against the league medianCrystal PalaceHull
Position	Crystal Palace 18th, Hull 10th, league median 10.5th18th10th
Points	Crystal Palace 7, Hull 11, league median 11711
Points, last 5	Crystal Palace 4, Hull 3, league median 843
Offense	Crystal Palace 1.33, Hull 1.08, league median 1.451.331.08
Defense	Crystal Palace 1.55, Hull 1.24, league median 1.241.551.24
Relegation odds	Crystal Palace 61%, Hull 32%, league median 7%61%32%
	League medianMedianBetter

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Crystal Palace goals down, Hull goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 13%. The chance either side scores five or more is 3%.

		Hull goals
		Hull 0	Hull 1	Hull 2	Hull 3	Hull 4
Crystal Palace goals	Crystal Palace 0	7%	7%	5%	2%	1%
	Crystal Palace 1	9%	13%	8%	3%	1%
	Crystal Palace 2	7%	9%	6%	2%	1%
	Crystal Palace 3	4%	4%	3%	1%	<1%
	Crystal Palace 4	1%	2%	1%	<1%	<1%

Table

Where Crystal Palace and Hull sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the top places.

Position	Team	LeftRegular-season matches left to play.	GDGoal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded.	Pts.	RelegatedChance of finishing in the bottom 3, which go down.
9	Aston Villa	29	−3	12	3%
10	Hull	29	+1	11	32%
11	Leeds	29	+1	11	4%
…
17	Man United	29	−5	7	8%
18	Crystal Palace	29	−12	7	61%
19	Nott'm Forest	29	−6	6	29%

Full table

Relegation odds by result

Each team's relegation odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.

Result	Crystal Palace	Hull
Now	61%	32%
Crystal Palace win	, down 8 points53%	, up 7 points39%
Draw	, up 2 points63%	, up 1 point33%
Hull win	, up 9 points70%	, down 11 points21%