Crystal Palace v Leeds United

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

11:00 AM ET

LeedsLeeds United

Leeds is 5 points out with 29 to play; a loss drops its chances to 1%.

• Date Sunday, May 30

Tale of the tape

	Crystal Palace and Leeds, against the league medianCrystal PalaceLeeds
Position	Crystal Palace 18th, Leeds 11th, league median 10.5th18th11th
Points	Crystal Palace 7, Leeds 11, league median 11711
Points, last 5	Crystal Palace 4, Leeds 3, league median 843
Offense	Crystal Palace 1.33, Leeds 1.30, league median 1.451.331.30
Defense	Crystal Palace 1.55, Leeds 1.13, league median 1.241.551.13
Relegation odds	Crystal Palace 61%, Leeds 4%, league median 7%61%4%
	League medianMedianBetter

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Crystal Palace goals down, Leeds goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 13%. The chance either side scores five or more is 3%.

		Leeds goals
		Leeds 0	Leeds 1	Leeds 2	Leeds 3	Leeds 4
Crystal Palace goals	Crystal Palace 0	7%	8%	6%	3%	1%
	Crystal Palace 1	7%	13%	9%	4%	2%
	Crystal Palace 2	5%	8%	6%	3%	1%
	Crystal Palace 3	2%	4%	3%	1%	1%
	Crystal Palace 4	1%	1%	1%	<1%	<1%

Table

Where Crystal Palace and Leeds sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the top places.

Position	Team	LeftRegular-season matches left to play.	GDGoal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded.	Pts.	RelegatedChance of finishing in the bottom 3, which go down.
10	Hull	29	+1	11	32%
11	Leeds	29	+1	11	4%
12	Newcastle	30	−2	11	7%
…
17	Man United	29	−5	7	8%
18	Crystal Palace	29	−12	7	61%
19	Nott'm Forest	29	−6	6	29%

Full table

Relegation odds by result

Each team's relegation odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.

Result	Crystal Palace	Leeds
Now	61%	4%
Crystal Palace win	, down 8 points53%	, up 2 points6%
Draw	, no change61%	, up 1 point5%
Leeds win	, up 7 points68%	, down 1 point3%