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Everton v Arsenal

Everton's last home game of the regular season.

  • Date

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Everton win 17%, draw 26%, Arsenal win 57%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Everton and Arsenal, against the league median
PositionEverton 14th, Arsenal 1st, league median 10.5th
PointsEverton 10, Arsenal 24, league median 11
Points, last 5Everton 5, Arsenal 12, league median 8
OffenseEverton 1.24, Arsenal 1.79, league median 1.45
DefenseEverton 1.24, Arsenal 0.73, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsEverton 1%, Arsenal >99%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Everton goals down, Arsenal goals across. The most likely is 0–1 at 13%. The chance either side scores five or more is 3%.
Arsenal 0Arsenal 1Arsenal 2Arsenal 3Arsenal 4
Everton 09%13%12%6%3%
Everton 16%12%9%5%2%
Everton 23%5%4%2%1%
Everton 31%1%1%1%<1%
Everton 4<1%<1%<1%<1%<1%

Table

Where Everton and Arsenal sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
1Arsenal29+924
2Man City29+1021
13Ipswich29−411
14Everton30−110
15Fulham29−29

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultEvertonRelegationArsenalTitle
Now14%80%
Everton win, down 6 points8%, down 5 points75%
Draw, down 1 point13%, down 2 points78%
Arsenal win, up 3 points17%, up 3 points83%