Everton v Arsenal
Everton's last home game of the regular season.
- Date
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Everton win 17%, draw 26%, Arsenal win 57%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Everton and Arsenal, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Everton 14th, Arsenal 1st, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Everton 10, Arsenal 24, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Everton 5, Arsenal 12, league median 8 |
| Offense | Everton 1.24, Arsenal 1.79, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Everton 1.24, Arsenal 0.73, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Everton 1%, Arsenal >99%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Arsenal 0 | Arsenal 1 | Arsenal 2 | Arsenal 3 | Arsenal 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton 0 | 9% | 13% | 12% | 6% | 3% | |
| Everton 1 | 6% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 2% | |
| Everton 2 | 3% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | |
| Everton 3 | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | |
| Everton 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 29 | +9 | 24 | |
| 2 | Man City | 29 | +10 | 21 | |
| 13 | Ipswich | 29 | −4 | 11 | |
| 14 | Everton | 30 | −1 | 10 | |
| 15 | Fulham | 29 | −2 | 9 |
Odds by result
| Result | EvertonRelegation | ArsenalTitle |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 14% | 80% |
| Everton win | , down 6 points8% | , down 5 points75% |
| Draw | , down 1 point13% | , down 2 points78% |
| Arsenal win | , up 3 points17% | , up 3 points83% |