Everton v Aston Villa

EvertonEverton

2:30 PM ET

Toss-upToss-upWin chances within 5 points.

Aston VillaAston Villa

Home field evens it against Aston Villa, 9th by rating; the closest match of the week.

• Date Tuesday, January 5

Tale of the tape

	Everton and Aston Villa, against the league medianEvertonAston Villa
Position	Everton 14th, Aston Villa 9th, league median 10.5th14th9th
Points	Everton 10, Aston Villa 12, league median 111012
Points, last 5	Everton 5, Aston Villa 11, league median 8511
Offense	Everton 1.24, Aston Villa 1.44, league median 1.451.241.44
Defense	Everton 1.24, Aston Villa 1.23, league median 1.241.241.23
Champions League odds	Everton 1%, Aston Villa 4%, league median 2%1%4%
	League medianMedianBetter

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Everton goals down, Aston Villa goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 13%. The chance either side scores five or more is 2%.

		Aston Villa goals
		Aston Villa 0	Aston Villa 1	Aston Villa 2	Aston Villa 3	Aston Villa 4
Everton goals	Everton 0	8%	8%	6%	3%	1%
	Everton 1	8%	13%	8%	4%	1%
	Everton 2	6%	8%	6%	2%	1%
	Everton 3	3%	4%	3%	1%	<1%
	Everton 4	1%	1%	1%	<1%	<1%

Table

Where Everton and Aston Villa sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.

Position	Team	LeftRegular-season matches left to play.	GDGoal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded.	Pts.	Champions LeagueChance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season.
8	Tottenham	29	0	12	2%
9	Aston Villa	29	−3	12	4%
10	Hull	29	+1	11	<1%
…
13	Ipswich	29	−4	11	<1%
14	Everton	30	−1	10	1%
15	Fulham	29	−2	9	<1%

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.

Result	EvertonRelegation	Aston VillaChampions League
Now	14%	4%
Everton win	, down 5 points9%	, down 1 point3%
Draw	, up 1 point15%	, no change4%
Aston Villa win	, up 5 points19%	, up 3 points7%