Everton v AFC Bournemouth
Bournemouth is 4 points out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 31%, a loss to 20%.
- Date
Win chances: Bournemouth favored. Everton win 29%, draw 27%, Bournemouth win 44%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Everton and Bournemouth, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Everton 14th, Bournemouth 7th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Everton 10, Bournemouth 12, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Everton 5, Bournemouth 9, league median 8 |
| Offense | Everton 1.24, Bournemouth 1.67, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Everton 1.24, Bournemouth 1.11, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Everton 1%, Bournemouth 26%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Bournemouth 0 | Bournemouth 1 | Bournemouth 2 | Bournemouth 3 | Bournemouth 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton 0 | 7% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 1% | |
| Everton 1 | 7% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 2% | |
| Everton 2 | 5% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Everton 3 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
| Everton 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Brentford | 29 | +7 | 14 | |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 29 | +1 | 12 | |
| 8 | Tottenham | 29 | 0 | 12 | |
| 13 | Ipswich | 29 | −4 | 11 | |
| 14 | Everton | 30 | −1 | 10 | |
| 15 | Fulham | 29 | −2 | 9 |
Odds by result
| Result | EvertonRelegation | BournemouthChampions League |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 14% | 26% |
| Everton win | , down 5 points9% | , down 6 points20% |
| Draw | , no change14% | , down 3 points23% |
| Bournemouth win | , up 4 points18% | , up 5 points31% |