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Everton v AFC Bournemouth

Bournemouth is 4 points out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 31%, a loss to 20%.

  • Date

Win chances: Bournemouth favored. Everton win 29%, draw 27%, Bournemouth win 44%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Everton and Bournemouth, against the league median
PositionEverton 14th, Bournemouth 7th, league median 10.5th
PointsEverton 10, Bournemouth 12, league median 11
Points, last 5Everton 5, Bournemouth 9, league median 8
OffenseEverton 1.24, Bournemouth 1.67, league median 1.45
DefenseEverton 1.24, Bournemouth 1.11, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsEverton 1%, Bournemouth 26%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Everton goals down, Bournemouth goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 13%. The chance either side scores five or more is 3%.
Bournemouth 0Bournemouth 1Bournemouth 2Bournemouth 3Bournemouth 4
Everton 07%9%7%4%1%
Everton 17%13%9%5%2%
Everton 25%7%6%3%1%
Everton 32%3%2%1%<1%
Everton 41%1%1%<1%<1%

Table

Where Everton and Bournemouth sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
6Brentford29+714
7Bournemouth29+112
8Tottenham29012
13Ipswich29−411
14Everton30−110
15Fulham29−29

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultEvertonRelegationBournemouthChampions League
Now14%26%
Everton win, down 5 points9%, down 6 points20%
Draw, no change14%, down 3 points23%
Bournemouth win, up 4 points18%, up 5 points31%