Everton v Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton is 4 points clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 83%, a loss to 72%.
- Date
Win chances: Brighton favored. Everton win 28%, draw 26%, Brighton win 46%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Everton and Brighton, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Everton 14th, Brighton 3rd, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Everton 10, Brighton 19, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Everton 5, Brighton 12, league median 8 |
| Offense | Everton 1.24, Brighton 1.74, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Everton 1.24, Brighton 1.09, league median 1.24 |
| Champions League odds | Everton 1%, Brighton 79%, league median 2% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Brighton 0 | Brighton 1 | Brighton 2 | Brighton 3 | Brighton 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton 0 | 7% | 9% | 8% | 4% | 2% | |
| Everton 1 | 6% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 2% | |
| Everton 2 | 4% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
| Everton 3 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | |
| Everton 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Man City | 29 | +10 | 21 | |
| 3 | Brighton | 29 | +17 | 19 | |
| 4 | Chelsea | 29 | +4 | 16 | |
| 13 | Ipswich | 29 | −4 | 11 | |
| 14 | Everton | 30 | −1 | 10 | |
| 15 | Fulham | 29 | −2 | 9 |
Odds by result
| Result | EvertonRelegation | BrightonChampions League |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 14% | 79% |
| Everton win | , down 6 points8% | , down 7 points72% |
| Draw | , no change14% | , down 2 points77% |
| Brighton win | , up 4 points18% | , up 4 points83% |