Everton v Fulham
Both need this to stay up; a win cuts Everton's chances of going down to 9%, Fulham's to 14%.
- Date
Win chances: Everton favored. Everton win 41%, draw 28%, Fulham win 31%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Everton and Fulham, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Everton 14th, Fulham 15th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Everton 10, Fulham 9, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Everton 5, Fulham 8, league median 8 |
| Offense | Everton 1.24, Fulham 1.25, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Everton 1.24, Fulham 1.22, league median 1.24 |
| Relegation odds | Everton 14%, Fulham 21%, league median 7% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Fulham 0 | Fulham 1 | Fulham 2 | Fulham 3 | Fulham 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton 0 | 9% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | |
| Everton 1 | 10% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 1% | |
| Everton 2 | 7% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | |
| Everton 3 | 3% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
| Everton 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the bottom 3, which go down. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Ipswich | 29 | −4 | 11 | |
| 14 | Everton | 30 | −1 | 10 | |
| 15 | Fulham | 29 | −2 | 9 | |
| 16 | Coventry | 29 | −7 | 9 |
Relegation odds by result
| Result | Everton | Fulham |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 14% | 21% |
| Everton win | , down 5 points9% | , up 5 points26% |
| Draw | , up 1 point15% | , up 1 point22% |
| Fulham win | , up 6 points20% | , down 7 points14% |