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Everton v Hull City

Both need this to stay up; a win cuts Everton's chances of going down to 10%, Hull's to 21%.

  • Date

Win chances: Everton favored. Everton win 45%, draw 29%, Hull win 26%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Everton and Hull, against the league median
PositionEverton 14th, Hull 10th, league median 10.5th
PointsEverton 10, Hull 11, league median 11
Points, last 5Everton 5, Hull 3, league median 8
OffenseEverton 1.24, Hull 1.08, league median 1.45
DefenseEverton 1.24, Hull 1.24, league median 1.24
Relegation oddsEverton 14%, Hull 32%, league median 7%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Everton goals down, Hull goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 14%. The chance either side scores five or more is 2%.
Hull 0Hull 1Hull 2Hull 3Hull 4
Everton 010%8%5%2%<1%
Everton 112%14%6%2%1%
Everton 29%9%4%2%<1%
Everton 34%4%2%1%<1%
Everton 41%1%1%<1%<1%

Table

Where Everton and Hull sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the top places.
PositionTeamPts.
9Aston Villa29−312
10Hull29+111
11Leeds29+111
12Newcastle30−211
13Ipswich29−411
14Everton30−110
15Fulham29−29

Full table

Relegation odds by result

Each team's relegation odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultEvertonHull
Now14%32%
Everton win, down 4 points10%, up 6 points38%
Draw, up 1 point15%, down 1 point31%
Hull win, up 6 points20%, down 11 points21%