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Everton v Manchester City

  • Date

Win chances: Man City favored. Everton win 25%, draw 25%, Man City win 50%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Everton and Man City, against the league median
PositionEverton 14th, Man City 2nd, league median 10.5th
PointsEverton 10, Man City 21, league median 11
Points, last 5Everton 5, Man City 9, league median 8
OffenseEverton 1.24, Man City 1.88, league median 1.45
DefenseEverton 1.24, Man City 1.06, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsEverton 1%, Man City 90%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Everton goals down, Man City goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 12%. The chance either side scores five or more is 4%.
Man City 0Man City 1Man City 2Man City 3Man City 4
Everton 06%9%8%5%2%
Everton 16%12%10%6%2%
Everton 24%7%6%3%1%
Everton 31%3%2%1%1%
Everton 4<1%1%1%<1%<1%

Table

Where Everton and Man City sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
1Arsenal29+924
2Man City29+1021
3Brighton29+1719
13Ipswich29−411
14Everton30−110
15Fulham29−29

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultEvertonRelegationMan CityChampions League
Now14%90%
Everton win, down 6 points8%, down 4 points86%
Draw, no change14%, down 2 points88%
Man City win, up 4 points18%, up 3 points93%