Everton v Newcastle United

EvertonEverton

10:00 AM ET

NewcastleNewcastle United

Newcastle is 5 points out with 30 to play; a loss drops its chances to 1%.

• Date Saturday, February 6

Tale of the tape

	Everton and Newcastle, against the league medianEvertonNewcastle
Position	Everton 14th, Newcastle 12th, league median 10.5th14th12th
Points	Everton 10, Newcastle 11, league median 111011
Points, last 5	Everton 5, Newcastle 6, league median 856
Offense	Everton 1.24, Newcastle 1.46, league median 1.451.241.46
Defense	Everton 1.24, Newcastle 1.36, league median 1.241.241.36
Relegation odds	Everton 14%, Newcastle 7%, league median 7%14%7%
	League medianMedianBetter

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Everton goals down, Newcastle goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 12%. The chance either side scores five or more is 3%.

		Newcastle goals
		Newcastle 0	Newcastle 1	Newcastle 2	Newcastle 3	Newcastle 4
Everton goals	Everton 0	6%	7%	5%	2%	1%
	Everton 1	8%	12%	8%	4%	1%
	Everton 2	7%	9%	6%	3%	1%
	Everton 3	3%	4%	3%	1%	<1%
	Everton 4	1%	2%	1%	1%	<1%

Table

Where Everton and Newcastle sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the top places.

Position	Team	LeftRegular-season matches left to play.	GDGoal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded.	Pts.	RelegatedChance of finishing in the bottom 3, which go down.
11	Leeds	29	+1	11	4%
12	Newcastle	30	−2	11	7%
13	Ipswich	29	−4	11	36%
14	Everton	30	−1	10	14%
15	Fulham	29	−2	9	21%

Full table

Relegation odds by result

Each team's relegation odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.

Result	Everton	Newcastle
Now	14%	7%
Everton win	, down 5 points9%	, up 3 points10%
Draw	, up 1 point15%	, up 1 point8%
Newcastle win	, up 5 points19%	, down 3 points4%