Everton v Nottingham Forest
Everton is 6 points out with 30 to play; a loss drops its chances to under 1%.
- Date
Win chances: Everton favored. Everton win 40%, draw 28%, Nott'm Forest win 32%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Everton and Nott'm Forest, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Everton 14th, Nott'm Forest 19th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Everton 10, Nott'm Forest 6, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Everton 5, Nott'm Forest 1, league median 8 |
| Offense | Everton 1.24, Nott'm Forest 1.28, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Everton 1.24, Nott'm Forest 1.23, league median 1.24 |
| Relegation odds | Everton 14%, Nott'm Forest 29%, league median 7% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Nott'm Forest 0 | Nott'm Forest 1 | Nott'm Forest 2 | Nott'm Forest 3 | Nott'm Forest 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton 0 | 9% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | |
| Everton 1 | 10% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | |
| Everton 2 | 7% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | |
| Everton 3 | 3% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
| Everton 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the bottom 3, which go down. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Ipswich | 29 | −4 | 11 | |
| 14 | Everton | 30 | −1 | 10 | |
| 15 | Fulham | 29 | −2 | 9 | |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 29 | −12 | 7 | |
| 19 | Nott'm Forest | 29 | −6 | 6 | |
| 20 | Sunderland | 29 | −10 | 5 |
Relegation odds by result
| Result | Everton | Nott'm Forest |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 14% | 29% |
| Everton win | , down 4 points10% | , up 6 points35% |
| Draw | , up 1 point15% | , no change29% |
| Nott'm Forest win | , up 5 points19% | , down 9 points20% |