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Everton v Sunderland

Both need this to stay up; a win cuts Everton's chances of going down to 10%, Sunderland's to 46%.

  • Date

Win chances: Everton favored. Everton win 45%, draw 28%, Sunderland win 27%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Everton and Sunderland, against the league median
PositionEverton 14th, Sunderland 20th, league median 10.5th
PointsEverton 10, Sunderland 5, league median 11
Points, last 5Everton 5, Sunderland 1, league median 8
OffenseEverton 1.24, Sunderland 1.17, league median 1.45
DefenseEverton 1.24, Sunderland 1.31, league median 1.24
Relegation oddsEverton 14%, Sunderland 55%, league median 7%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Everton goals down, Sunderland goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 13%. The chance either side scores five or more is 2%.
Sunderland 0Sunderland 1Sunderland 2Sunderland 3Sunderland 4
Everton 09%8%5%2%<1%
Everton 111%13%7%2%1%
Everton 28%9%5%2%<1%
Everton 34%4%2%1%<1%
Everton 42%2%1%<1%<1%

Table

Where Everton and Sunderland sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the top places.
PositionTeamPts.
13Ipswich29−411
14Everton30−110
15Fulham29−29
19Nott'm Forest29−66
20Sunderland29−105

Full table

Relegation odds by result

Each team's relegation odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultEvertonSunderland
Now14%55%
Everton win, down 4 points10%, up 6 points61%
Draw, up 1 point15%, no change55%
Sunderland win, up 7 points21%, down 9 points46%