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Fulham v Arsenal

A win cuts Fulham's chances of going down to 13%; a loss raises them to 24%.

  • Date

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Fulham win 18%, draw 26%, Arsenal win 56%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Fulham and Arsenal, against the league median
PositionFulham 15th, Arsenal 1st, league median 10.5th
PointsFulham 9, Arsenal 24, league median 11
Points, last 5Fulham 8, Arsenal 12, league median 8
OffenseFulham 1.25, Arsenal 1.79, league median 1.45
DefenseFulham 1.22, Arsenal 0.73, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsFulham <1%, Arsenal >99%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Fulham goals down, Arsenal goals across. The most likely is 0–1 at 13%. The chance either side scores five or more is 3%.
Arsenal 0Arsenal 1Arsenal 2Arsenal 3Arsenal 4
Fulham 09%13%11%6%3%
Fulham 16%12%9%5%2%
Fulham 23%5%4%2%1%
Fulham 31%1%1%1%<1%
Fulham 4<1%<1%<1%<1%<1%

Table

Where Fulham and Arsenal sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
1Arsenal29+924
2Man City29+1021
14Everton30−110
15Fulham29−29
16Coventry29−79

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultFulhamRelegationArsenalTitle
Now21%80%
Fulham win, down 8 points13%, down 5 points75%
Draw, down 1 point20%, down 2 points78%
Arsenal win, up 3 points24%, up 3 points83%