Fulham v Aston Villa

FulhamFulham

10:00 AM ET

Toss-upToss-upWin chances within 5 points.

Aston VillaAston Villa

Home field evens it against Aston Villa, 9th by rating; Aston Villa is 4 points out with 29 to play.

• Date Saturday, January 23

Tale of the tape

	Fulham and Aston Villa, against the league medianFulhamAston Villa
Position	Fulham 15th, Aston Villa 9th, league median 10.5th15th9th
Points	Fulham 9, Aston Villa 12, league median 11912
Points, last 5	Fulham 8, Aston Villa 11, league median 8811
Offense	Fulham 1.25, Aston Villa 1.44, league median 1.451.251.44
Defense	Fulham 1.22, Aston Villa 1.23, league median 1.241.221.23
Champions League odds	Fulham <1%, Aston Villa 4%, league median 2%<1%4%
	League medianMedianBetter

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Fulham goals down, Aston Villa goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 13%. The chance either side scores five or more is 2%.

		Aston Villa goals
		Aston Villa 0	Aston Villa 1	Aston Villa 2	Aston Villa 3	Aston Villa 4
Fulham goals	Fulham 0	8%	8%	6%	3%	1%
	Fulham 1	8%	13%	8%	3%	1%
	Fulham 2	7%	9%	6%	2%	1%
	Fulham 3	3%	4%	3%	1%	<1%
	Fulham 4	1%	1%	1%	<1%	<1%

Table

Where Fulham and Aston Villa sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.

Position	Team	LeftRegular-season matches left to play.	GDGoal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded.	Pts.	Champions LeagueChance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season.
8	Tottenham	29	0	12	2%
9	Aston Villa	29	−3	12	4%
10	Hull	29	+1	11	<1%
…
14	Everton	30	−1	10	1%
15	Fulham	29	−2	9	<1%
16	Coventry	29	−7	9	<1%

Full table

Relegation odds by result

Each team's relegation odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.

Result	Fulham	Aston Villa
Now	21%	3%
Fulham win	, down 7 points14%	, up 1 point4%
Draw	, up 2 points23%	, down 1 point2%
Aston Villa win	, up 5 points26%	, down 2 points1%