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Fulham v AFC Bournemouth

Bournemouth is 4 points out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 32%, a loss to 19%.

  • Date

Win chances: Bournemouth favored. Fulham win 30%, draw 27%, Bournemouth win 43%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Fulham and Bournemouth, against the league median
PositionFulham 15th, Bournemouth 7th, league median 10.5th
PointsFulham 9, Bournemouth 12, league median 11
Points, last 5Fulham 8, Bournemouth 9, league median 8
OffenseFulham 1.25, Bournemouth 1.67, league median 1.45
DefenseFulham 1.22, Bournemouth 1.11, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsFulham <1%, Bournemouth 26%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Fulham goals down, Bournemouth goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 13%. The chance either side scores five or more is 3%.
Bournemouth 0Bournemouth 1Bournemouth 2Bournemouth 3Bournemouth 4
Fulham 07%9%7%4%1%
Fulham 17%13%9%5%2%
Fulham 25%7%6%3%1%
Fulham 32%3%2%1%<1%
Fulham 41%1%1%<1%<1%

Table

Where Fulham and Bournemouth sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
6Brentford29+714
7Bournemouth29+112
8Tottenham29012
14Everton30−110
15Fulham29−29
16Coventry29−79

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultFulhamRelegationBournemouthChampions League
Now21%26%
Fulham win, down 8 points13%, down 7 points19%
Draw, no change21%, down 3 points23%
Bournemouth win, up 5 points26%, up 6 points32%