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Fulham v Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton is 4 points clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 84%, a loss to 73%.

  • Date

Win chances: Brighton favored. Fulham win 29%, draw 26%, Brighton win 45%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Fulham and Brighton, against the league median
PositionFulham 15th, Brighton 3rd, league median 10.5th
PointsFulham 9, Brighton 19, league median 11
Points, last 5Fulham 8, Brighton 12, league median 8
OffenseFulham 1.25, Brighton 1.74, league median 1.45
DefenseFulham 1.22, Brighton 1.09, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsFulham <1%, Brighton 79%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Fulham goals down, Brighton goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 13%. The chance either side scores five or more is 3%.
Brighton 0Brighton 1Brighton 2Brighton 3Brighton 4
Fulham 07%9%7%4%2%
Fulham 17%13%9%5%2%
Fulham 25%7%6%3%1%
Fulham 32%3%2%1%1%
Fulham 41%1%1%<1%<1%

Table

Where Fulham and Brighton sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
2Man City29+1021
3Brighton29+1719
4Chelsea29+416
14Everton30−110
15Fulham29−29
16Coventry29−79

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultFulhamRelegationBrightonChampions League
Now21%79%
Fulham win, down 7 points14%, down 6 points73%
Draw, no change21%, down 3 points76%
Brighton win, up 4 points25%, up 5 points84%