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Fulham v Liverpool

Liverpool is 1 point out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 56%, a loss drops them to 41%.

  • Date

Win chances: Liverpool favored. Fulham win 30%, draw 27%, Liverpool win 43%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Fulham and Liverpool, against the league median
PositionFulham 15th, Liverpool 5th, league median 10.5th
PointsFulham 9, Liverpool 15, league median 11
Points, last 5Fulham 8, Liverpool 9, league median 8
OffenseFulham 1.25, Liverpool 1.66, league median 1.45
DefenseFulham 1.22, Liverpool 1.08, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsFulham <1%, Liverpool 49%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Fulham goals down, Liverpool goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 13%. The chance either side scores five or more is 3%.
Liverpool 0Liverpool 1Liverpool 2Liverpool 3Liverpool 4
Fulham 07%9%7%4%1%
Fulham 17%13%9%5%2%
Fulham 25%7%6%3%1%
Fulham 32%3%2%1%<1%
Fulham 41%1%1%<1%<1%

Table

Where Fulham and Liverpool sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
4Chelsea29+416
5Liverpool29+215
6Brentford29+714
14Everton30−110
15Fulham29−29
16Coventry29−79

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultFulhamRelegationLiverpoolChampions League
Now21%49%
Fulham win, down 7 points14%, down 8 points41%
Draw, no change21%, down 2 points47%
Liverpool win, up 5 points26%, up 7 points56%