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Fulham v Manchester City

Man City is 6 points clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 93%, a loss to 87%.

  • Date

Win chances: Man City favored. Fulham win 26%, draw 25%, Man City win 49%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Fulham and Man City, against the league median
PositionFulham 15th, Man City 2nd, league median 10.5th
PointsFulham 9, Man City 21, league median 11
Points, last 5Fulham 8, Man City 9, league median 8
OffenseFulham 1.25, Man City 1.88, league median 1.45
DefenseFulham 1.22, Man City 1.06, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsFulham <1%, Man City 90%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Fulham goals down, Man City goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 12%. The chance either side scores five or more is 4%.
Man City 0Man City 1Man City 2Man City 3Man City 4
Fulham 06%8%8%5%2%
Fulham 16%12%10%5%2%
Fulham 24%7%6%3%1%
Fulham 32%3%2%1%1%
Fulham 4<1%1%1%<1%<1%

Table

Where Fulham and Man City sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
1Arsenal29+924
2Man City29+1021
3Brighton29+1719
14Everton30−110
15Fulham29−29
16Coventry29−79

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultFulhamRelegationMan CityChampions League
Now21%90%
Fulham win, down 7 points14%, down 3 points87%
Draw, no change21%, down 1 point89%
Man City win, up 4 points25%, up 3 points93%