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Fulham v Newcastle United

Fulham is the favorite despite sitting 3 places below Newcastle.

  • Date
  • Venue Craven Cottage, London
  • Where to watch in the US: Not listed yet

Win chances: Fulham favored. Fulham win 42%, draw 26%, Newcastle win 32%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Fulham and Newcastle, against the league median
PositionFulham 15th, Newcastle 12th, league median 10.5th
PointsFulham 9, Newcastle 11, league median 11
Points, last 5Fulham 8, Newcastle 6, league median 8
OffenseFulham 1.25, Newcastle 1.46, league median 1.45
DefenseFulham 1.22, Newcastle 1.36, league median 1.24
Relegation oddsFulham 21%, Newcastle 7%, league median 7%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Fulham goals down, Newcastle goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 12%. The chance either side scores five or more is 3%.
Newcastle 0Newcastle 1Newcastle 2Newcastle 3Newcastle 4
Fulham 07%7%5%2%1%
Fulham 18%12%8%3%1%
Fulham 27%9%6%3%1%
Fulham 33%5%3%1%<1%
Fulham 41%2%1%1%<1%

Table

Where Fulham and Newcastle sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the top places.
PositionTeamPts.
11Leeds29+111
12Newcastle30−211
13Ipswich29−411
14Everton30−110
15Fulham29−29
16Coventry29−79

Full table

Relegation odds by result

Each team's relegation odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultFulhamNewcastle
Now21%7%
Fulham win, down 6 points15%, up 3 points10%
Draw, up 1 point22%, no change7%
Newcastle win, up 7 points28%, down 3 points4%