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Fulham v Nottingham Forest

Both need this to stay up; a win cuts Fulham's chances of going down to 14%, Nott'm Forest's to 21%.

  • Date

Win chances: Fulham favored. Fulham win 41%, draw 28%, Nott'm Forest win 31%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Fulham and Nott'm Forest, against the league median
PositionFulham 15th, Nott'm Forest 19th, league median 10.5th
PointsFulham 9, Nott'm Forest 6, league median 11
Points, last 5Fulham 8, Nott'm Forest 1, league median 8
OffenseFulham 1.25, Nott'm Forest 1.28, league median 1.45
DefenseFulham 1.22, Nott'm Forest 1.23, league median 1.24
Relegation oddsFulham 21%, Nott'm Forest 29%, league median 7%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Fulham goals down, Nott'm Forest goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 13%. The chance either side scores five or more is 2%.
Nott'm Forest 0Nott'm Forest 1Nott'm Forest 2Nott'm Forest 3Nott'm Forest 4
Fulham 09%8%5%2%1%
Fulham 110%13%7%3%1%
Fulham 27%9%5%2%1%
Fulham 33%4%2%1%<1%
Fulham 41%1%1%<1%<1%

Table

Where Fulham and Nott'm Forest sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the top places.
PositionTeamPts.
14Everton30−110
15Fulham29−29
16Coventry29−79
17Man United29−57
18Crystal Palace29−127
19Nott'm Forest29−66
20Sunderland29−105

Full table

Relegation odds by result

Each team's relegation odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultFulhamNott'm Forest
Now21%29%
Fulham win, down 7 points14%, up 5 points34%
Draw, up 2 points23%, no change29%
Nott'm Forest win, up 7 points28%, down 8 points21%