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Fulham v Sunderland

Both need this to stay up; a win cuts Fulham's chances of going down to 15%, Sunderland's to 43%.

  • Date

Win chances: Fulham favored. Fulham win 46%, draw 28%, Sunderland win 26%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Fulham and Sunderland, against the league median
PositionFulham 15th, Sunderland 20th, league median 10.5th
PointsFulham 9, Sunderland 5, league median 11
Points, last 5Fulham 8, Sunderland 1, league median 8
OffenseFulham 1.25, Sunderland 1.17, league median 1.45
DefenseFulham 1.22, Sunderland 1.31, league median 1.24
Relegation oddsFulham 21%, Sunderland 55%, league median 7%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Fulham goals down, Sunderland goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 13%. The chance either side scores five or more is 2%.
Sunderland 0Sunderland 1Sunderland 2Sunderland 3Sunderland 4
Fulham 09%7%4%2%<1%
Fulham 111%13%7%2%1%
Fulham 29%9%5%2%<1%
Fulham 34%5%2%1%<1%
Fulham 42%2%1%<1%<1%

Table

Where Fulham and Sunderland sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the top places.
PositionTeamPts.
14Everton30−110
15Fulham29−29
16Coventry29−79
19Nott'm Forest29−66
20Sunderland29−105

Full table

Relegation odds by result

Each team's relegation odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultFulhamSunderland
Now21%55%
Fulham win, down 6 points15%, up 7 points62%
Draw, up 4 points25%, up 1 point56%
Sunderland win, up 7 points28%, down 12 points43%