Fulham v Sunderland
Both need this to stay up; a win cuts Fulham's chances of going down to 15%, Sunderland's to 43%.
- Date
Win chances: Fulham favored. Fulham win 46%, draw 28%, Sunderland win 26%.
Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works
Tale of the tape
| Fulham and Sunderland, against the league median | |
|---|---|
| Position | Fulham 15th, Sunderland 20th, league median 10.5th |
| Points | Fulham 9, Sunderland 5, league median 11 |
| Points, last 5 | Fulham 8, Sunderland 1, league median 8 |
| Offense | Fulham 1.25, Sunderland 1.17, league median 1.45 |
| Defense | Fulham 1.22, Sunderland 1.31, league median 1.24 |
| Relegation odds | Fulham 21%, Sunderland 55%, league median 7% |
| League medianMedianBetter |
Most likely scores
| Sunderland 0 | Sunderland 1 | Sunderland 2 | Sunderland 3 | Sunderland 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham 0 | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | |
| Fulham 1 | 11% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 1% | |
| Fulham 2 | 9% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | |
| Fulham 3 | 4% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | |
| Fulham 4 | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | |
Table
| Position | Team | Regular-season matches left to play. | Goal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded. | Pts. | Chance of finishing in the bottom 3, which go down. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Everton | 30 | −1 | 10 | |
| 15 | Fulham | 29 | −2 | 9 | |
| 16 | Coventry | 29 | −7 | 9 | |
| 19 | Nott'm Forest | 29 | −6 | 6 | |
| 20 | Sunderland | 29 | −10 | 5 |
Relegation odds by result
| Result | Fulham | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| Now | 21% | 55% |
| Fulham win | , down 6 points15% | , up 7 points62% |
| Draw | , up 4 points25% | , up 1 point56% |
| Sunderland win | , up 7 points28% | , down 12 points43% |