Hull City v Arsenal

HullHull City

10:00 AM ET

ArsenalArsenal

A win cuts Hull's chances of going down to 21%; a loss raises them to 35%.

• Date Saturday, January 16

Tale of the tape

	Hull and Arsenal, against the league medianHullArsenal
Position	Hull 10th, Arsenal 1st, league median 10.5th10th1st
Points	Hull 11, Arsenal 24, league median 111124
Points, last 5	Hull 3, Arsenal 12, league median 8312
Offense	Hull 1.08, Arsenal 1.79, league median 1.451.081.79
Defense	Hull 1.24, Arsenal 0.73, league median 1.241.240.73
Champions League odds	Hull <1%, Arsenal >99%, league median 2%<1%>99%
	League medianMedianBetter

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Hull goals down, Arsenal goals across. The most likely is 0–1 at 15%. The chance either side scores five or more is 3%.

		Arsenal goals
		Arsenal 0	Arsenal 1	Arsenal 2	Arsenal 3	Arsenal 4
Hull goals	Hull 0	10%	15%	13%	7%	3%
	Hull 1	6%	12%	9%	5%	2%
	Hull 2	2%	4%	3%	2%	1%
	Hull 3	1%	1%	1%	<1%	<1%
	Hull 4	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%

Table

Where Hull and Arsenal sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.

Position	Team	LeftRegular-season matches left to play.	GDGoal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded.	Pts.	Champions LeagueChance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season.
1	Arsenal	29	+9	24	>99%
2	Man City	29	+10	21	90%
…
9	Aston Villa	29	−3	12	4%
10	Hull	29	+1	11	<1%
11	Leeds	29	+1	11	3%

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.

Result	HullRelegation	ArsenalTitle
Now	32%	80%
Hull win	, down 11 points21%	, down 4 points76%
Draw	, down 3 points29%	, down 3 points77%
Arsenal win	, up 3 points35%	, up 3 points83%