Hull City v AFC Bournemouth

HullHull City

10:00 AM ET

BournemouthAFC Bournemouth

Bournemouth is 4 points out with 29 to play; a win lifts its chances to 31%, a loss to 19%.

• Date Saturday, May 1

Tale of the tape

	Hull and Bournemouth, against the league medianHullBournemouth
Position	Hull 10th, Bournemouth 7th, league median 10.5th10th7th
Points	Hull 11, Bournemouth 12, league median 111112
Points, last 5	Hull 3, Bournemouth 9, league median 839
Offense	Hull 1.08, Bournemouth 1.67, league median 1.451.081.67
Defense	Hull 1.24, Bournemouth 1.11, league median 1.241.241.11
Champions League odds	Hull <1%, Bournemouth 26%, league median 2%<1%26%
	League medianMedianBetter

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Hull goals down, Bournemouth goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 13%. The chance either side scores five or more is 3%.

		Bournemouth goals
		Bournemouth 0	Bournemouth 1	Bournemouth 2	Bournemouth 3	Bournemouth 4
Hull goals	Hull 0	8%	10%	9%	4%	2%
	Hull 1	7%	13%	9%	5%	2%
	Hull 2	4%	7%	5%	3%	1%
	Hull 3	2%	2%	2%	1%	<1%
	Hull 4	<1%	1%	1%	<1%	<1%

Table

Where Hull and Bournemouth sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.

Position	Team	LeftRegular-season matches left to play.	GDGoal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded.	Pts.	Champions LeagueChance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season.
6	Brentford	29	+7	14	15%
7	Bournemouth	29	+1	12	26%
8	Tottenham	29	0	12	2%
9	Aston Villa	29	−3	12	4%
10	Hull	29	+1	11	<1%
11	Leeds	29	+1	11	3%

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.

Result	HullRelegation	BournemouthChampions League
Now	32%	26%
Hull win	, down 10 points22%	, down 7 points19%
Draw	, no change32%	, down 4 points22%
Bournemouth win	, up 5 points37%	, up 5 points31%