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Hull City v Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton is 4 points clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 83%, a loss to 72%.

  • Date

Win chances: Brighton favored. Hull win 24%, draw 27%, Brighton win 49%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Hull and Brighton, against the league median
PositionHull 10th, Brighton 3rd, league median 10.5th
PointsHull 11, Brighton 19, league median 11
Points, last 5Hull 3, Brighton 12, league median 8
OffenseHull 1.08, Brighton 1.74, league median 1.45
DefenseHull 1.24, Brighton 1.09, league median 1.24
Champions League oddsHull <1%, Brighton 79%, league median 2%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Hull goals down, Brighton goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 13%. The chance either side scores five or more is 3%.
Brighton 0Brighton 1Brighton 2Brighton 3Brighton 4
Hull 08%10%9%5%2%
Hull 16%13%10%5%2%
Hull 24%6%5%3%1%
Hull 31%2%2%1%<1%
Hull 4<1%1%<1%<1%<1%

Table

Where Hull and Brighton sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.
PositionTeamPts.
2Man City29+1021
3Brighton29+1719
4Chelsea29+416
9Aston Villa29−312
10Hull29+111
11Leeds29+111

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultHullRelegationBrightonChampions League
Now32%79%
Hull win, down 9 points23%, down 7 points72%
Draw, down 1 point31%, down 2 points77%
Brighton win, up 4 points36%, up 4 points83%