Hull City v Chelsea

HullHull City

11:00 AM ET

ChelseaChelsea

Chelsea is 1 point clear of the top four line; a win lifts its chances to 32%, a loss to 22%.

• Date Saturday, March 20

Tale of the tape

	Hull and Chelsea, against the league medianHullChelsea
Position	Hull 10th, Chelsea 4th, league median 10.5th10th4th
Points	Hull 11, Chelsea 16, league median 111116
Points, last 5	Hull 3, Chelsea 9, league median 839
Offense	Hull 1.08, Chelsea 1.69, league median 1.451.081.69
Defense	Hull 1.24, Chelsea 1.28, league median 1.241.241.28
Champions League odds	Hull <1%, Chelsea 28%, league median 2%<1%28%
	League medianMedianBetter

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Hull goals down, Chelsea goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 13%. The chance either side scores five or more is 3%.

		Chelsea goals
		Chelsea 0	Chelsea 1	Chelsea 2	Chelsea 3	Chelsea 4
Hull goals	Hull 0	7%	8%	7%	4%	2%
	Hull 1	7%	13%	9%	5%	2%
	Hull 2	5%	7%	6%	3%	1%
	Hull 3	2%	3%	2%	1%	1%
	Hull 4	1%	1%	1%	<1%	<1%

Table

Where Hull and Chelsea sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the Champions League.

Position	Team	LeftRegular-season matches left to play.	GDGoal difference. Goals scored minus goals conceded.	Pts.	Champions LeagueChance of finishing in the top 4, which qualifies for the Champions League. Hover a cell to see how it moved this season.
3	Brighton	29	+17	19	79%
4	Chelsea	29	+4	16	28%
5	Liverpool	29	+2	15	49%
…
9	Aston Villa	29	−3	12	4%
10	Hull	29	+1	11	<1%
11	Leeds	29	+1	11	3%

Full table

Odds by result

Each team's season odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.

Result	HullRelegation	ChelseaChampions League
Now	32%	28%
Hull win	, down 10 points22%	, down 6 points22%
Draw	, up 1 point33%	, down 2 points26%
Chelsea win	, up 5 points37%	, up 4 points32%