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Hull City v Coventry City

Both need this to stay up; a win cuts Hull's chances of going down to 23%, Coventry's to 15%.

  • Date

Win chances: Hull favored. Hull win 38%, draw 28%, Coventry win 34%.

Issued Nov 2 at 12:35 AM EST by model version 2. How the forecast works

Tale of the tape

Hull and Coventry, against the league median
PositionHull 10th, Coventry 16th, league median 10.5th
PointsHull 11, Coventry 9, league median 11
Points, last 5Hull 3, Coventry 9, league median 8
OffenseHull 1.08, Coventry 1.39, league median 1.45
DefenseHull 1.24, Coventry 1.40, league median 1.24
Relegation oddsHull 32%, Coventry 22%, league median 7%

Most likely scores

Most likely scores, Hull goals down, Coventry goals across. The most likely is 1–1 at 13%. The chance either side scores five or more is 2%.
Coventry 0Coventry 1Coventry 2Coventry 3Coventry 4
Hull 08%8%6%3%1%
Hull 19%13%8%3%1%
Hull 27%8%5%2%1%
Hull 33%4%2%1%<1%
Hull 41%1%1%<1%<1%

Table

Where Hull and Coventry sit in the table. The top 4 qualify for the top places.
PositionTeamPts.
9Aston Villa29−312
10Hull29+111
11Leeds29+111
15Fulham29−29
16Coventry29−79
17Man United29−57

Full table

Relegation odds by result

Each team's relegation odds now and after each result of this match, with the change in percentage points.
ResultHullCoventry
Now32%22%
Hull win, down 9 points23%, up 7 points29%
Draw, up 1 point33%, up 1 point23%
Coventry win, up 8 points40%, down 7 points15%